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SVTPerformance's Chain of Restaurants
Road Side Pub
Is it time to worry about the stock market?
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<blockquote data-quote="IA Shelby" data-source="post: 16086106" data-attributes="member: 122099"><p>Recession happening is stone cold lock. The question is when that will happen. Most experts predict sub 2% GDP growth in the second half of 2019. </p><p></p><p> The fed raising rates is not the primary reason for the stock market falling. They have signaled these moves for over a year. What has the market nervous is the unpredictable nature of trump’s latest moves. Trade wars, gov Shutdown, Cabinet secretarie resignations (Mattis was huge), Syria pull out etc. </p><p></p><p>I believe trump has made some smart policy moves in his first year (especially the focus on de-regulation). The tax cuts were over done and will escalate our rising debt. We will see the lasting impact when companies start to report earnings in Q1 when they yr/yr comparisons have the tax cuts baked in from 18.</p><p></p><p>The key in mind is who the democrats/Republicans run against Trump in 2020. if it is somebody who is somewhat based in reality, he will lose. That would calm the markets. If the Dems run a Beto or some far left liberal then you could see a deep & lasting recession. Just my opinion which I am sure several will disagree with.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="IA Shelby, post: 16086106, member: 122099"] Recession happening is stone cold lock. The question is when that will happen. Most experts predict sub 2% GDP growth in the second half of 2019. The fed raising rates is not the primary reason for the stock market falling. They have signaled these moves for over a year. What has the market nervous is the unpredictable nature of trump’s latest moves. Trade wars, gov Shutdown, Cabinet secretarie resignations (Mattis was huge), Syria pull out etc. I believe trump has made some smart policy moves in his first year (especially the focus on de-regulation). The tax cuts were over done and will escalate our rising debt. We will see the lasting impact when companies start to report earnings in Q1 when they yr/yr comparisons have the tax cuts baked in from 18. The key in mind is who the democrats/Republicans run against Trump in 2020. if it is somebody who is somewhat based in reality, he will lose. That would calm the markets. If the Dems run a Beto or some far left liberal then you could see a deep & lasting recession. Just my opinion which I am sure several will disagree with. [/QUOTE]
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Is it time to worry about the stock market?
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