I'm not saying other currencies (such as USD) are without flaws, but I would have to argue against A.) The necessitation for an online currency and B.) The idea that bit coins will increase in value as they are lost or removed from circulation.
Every currency, regardless on what it is backed by, at the very core represents work or labor done. We go to wotk, then we get paid, and then we exchabge that pay for the results (products) that others have worked on. Credit cards of course allow us to spend our labor first, for a fee, but all in all currency equals human labor, energy and work. Everyone's skills and labor are worth different amounts, but at the very basis of currency is simply the idea that you exchange your skills, knowledge, time, energy and power for that of another's.
The problem with bartering was that a construction worker might build a house, but not necessarily need what the farmer was growing. What currency allowed was the farmer to exchange his goods to those that needed it, and in turn use the currency he received to pay the construction worker for what he needed. And everyone might have a slightly different opinion on what their time and products were worth, but as long as you had this overlying currency, you at least weren't tied down to trying to exchange your very specific products directly for someone's else's specific products. The only major stipulation being that the currency had to be something that couldn't just be obtained. I mean, you can't just use rocks because everyone knows they can go to their back yard and get roxks, so gold and precious metals were popular...or in the case of bit coins, something without physical presence, computer "puzzle solving" to put it simply.
So, back to bit coins. Let's assume that as the years go on, the creation of new bit coins slows as they become more difficult to mine, some wallets are lost as a result of HD crashing, fires, sending to nonexisting wallets, lack of interest, etc which is frustrating and unappealing, and overall the number of available bit coins is declining. According to the article, these bit coins should gain value, but in my opinion the exact opposite will happen.
Because now were going to either have a very small minority using them that doesn't justify the integration as a large scale currency or there will be so much of a minority with them that people won't really care. Imagine if there was only $100 left in the entire US in the form if a crisp $100 bill. Do you think society is simply going to crash waiting for that person to spend the money or do you think society will leave that person behind along with their $100 and find a new mass currency that works for society as a whole? The only value then in the currency is suddenly purely novelty and historical, but with bit coins you don't even have something feasible to hold onto and display. I mean, people might want them simply because they're rare, like a collectible silver dollar, but not with the objective of using them as a currency...and even then, you're not really holding onto something "collectible" because its just a string of binary code.
But then, we still haven't even discovered its necessity as a currency. Many different countries have different currencies as a result of what they culturally value and created before international trade was normal. So when you fly to another country then of course, you often convert cash as necessary. But online, there's really no need to convert to an online currency because websites often convert your cash directly, which means if I shop online and buy a product from India, there are already systems in place that allow me to pay directly from my USD bank account. If there wasn't already a system in place for making transactions online, then maybe there's be a place for bit coin, but in large part, the Internet is a location where it doesn't matter what currency you use. Best of all, there's safety nets in place to ensure I don't lose money because a hard drive crashed immediately after converting to bit coin, there's systems in place to ensure money gets exactly where it needs to go, there's a system in place that protects me as a buyer (and seller), and bit coins simply can't compete from that perspective.
Unless you're trying to be anonymous......which comes with its own implications. The benefit of an online currency such as bitcoin is the lack of government or private control (Paypal) and stipulations on who, what, when, why and how we spend it. Its why we see bit coin lottery sites, poker sites, and other (often shady) websites operating beyond financial jurisdiction on a basis of trust that isn't always deserved. I believe people should be free to make their own choices, but the complete lack of financial oversight makes me very curious as to what underlying purposes bit coins may be used for. I like to believe the world would be better if we could govern ourselves, but the fact is that we need certain jurisdictions, rules and control over bit coins and their use, else who knows exactly what illegal activities bit coins are being used for...terrorism, child trafficking, etc.
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I agree with you on some aspects that Bitcoin does not have inherent value such as Gold and Silver do, and the benefits of Bitcoin have not all come to realization yet either, which is the exciting part.
The deflationary spiral theory says that if prices are expected to fall, people will move purchases into the future in order to benefit from the lower prices. That fall in demand will in turn cause merchants to lower their prices to try and stimulate demand, making the problem worse and leading to an economic depression.
Although this theory is a popular way to justify inflation amongst central bankers, it does not appear to always hold true and is considered controversial amongst economists. Consumer electronics is one example of a market where prices constantly fall but which is not in depression. Similarly, the value of bitcoins has risen over time and yet the size of the Bitcoin economy has also grown dramatically along with it. Because both the value of the currency and the size of its economy started at zero in 2009, Bitcoin is a counterexample to the theory showing that it must sometimes be wrong.
Notwithstanding this, Bitcoin is not designed to be a deflationary currency. It is more accurate to say Bitcoin is intended to inflate in its early years, and become stable in its later years. The only time the quantity of bitcoins in circulation will drop is if people carelessly lose their wallets by failing to make backups. With a stable monetary base and a stable economy, the value of the currency should remain the same.
In the past 24 hours there was a quarter of a BILLION transactions, so there is already more than a small majority of people using them. You also can store your Bitcoin in paper wallets which is basically a paper print out, as well as have them on a USB drive, HD, dropbox etc. It is highly unlikely that your computer would crash, you would lose your piece of paper and USB drive at the same time. People that are heavily invested in Bitcoin have these precautions already and for example keep their USB drive in a safe deposit box and have made backups.
Bitcoin is divisible by 8 decimal places, so if it becomes very valuable you can trade in mili and microbitcoins.
mBTC = mili bitcoin = 1 thousandth of a bitcoin = 0.001BTC
uBTC = micro bitcoin = 1 millionth of a bitcoin = 0.000001BTC
A lot of people in Africa and 3rd world countries do not even have bank accounts. Yet they all have mobile phones. Fast-growing African economies such as those of Kenya and Nigeria rely heavily on cash transactions, particularly in rural areas where there are no ATMs and few people have bank accounts. In some places, large networks of illegal money changers are used for cross-border payments.
That situation is part of the reason for the early success in Africa of mobile-phone payment systems such as Kenya’s M-Pesa, which allows users to send each other money using text messages. Koch believes that mobile payments built around Bitcoin could be even more useful. “It’s interesting to see how creative Africans can be about transferring money,” says Koch. “They really think seriously about a cashless society.”
Open-source technology created by the Bitcoin community could be used to create simple mobile apps for payments accessible to almost any phone with a camera, says Koch. Use of smart phones is now growing rapidly in some African countries, particularly Kenya, as prices for models using Google’s Android software have dropped rapidly. He imagines a design similar to the Bitcoin for Android app, which allows one person to transfer bitcoins to another by using a phone to snap a photo of a 2-D bar code or QR code on the screen of another phone. “People could exchange money when they meet on the street,” says Koch.
The decentralized design of Bitcoin means a payment system that uses the currency would easily span national borders and could avoid system-wide outages like those suffered by M-Pesa in December, which left users unable to do business. “All centralized systems have the same problem,” says Koch. “If you rely on it and you don’t have a way to pay, then you are in trouble.”- technologyreview
Bitcoin is a lot bigger than just being used as a currency as well, but a huge benefit is 0% transaction fees.
This article: Bitcoin: More than Money - Reason.com explains a lot of good points too.
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