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SVTPerformance's Chain of Restaurants
Road Side Pub
Thoughts on Real Estate- bubble burst or not?
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<blockquote data-quote="q6543" data-source="post: 16707841" data-attributes="member: 163900"><p>Us inflation rate is 6.8% for the year.</p><p></p><p>Fed funds base is at the zero bound.</p><p></p><p>Real rate -6.8%</p><p></p><p>Say we were at .5% base with the same 6.8% IR,</p><p>That would put us at -6.3%</p><p></p><p>So if inflation falls into the 4s next year... totally plausible.. and the FED lifts off and commits to 3 hike...75bps.</p><p></p><p>We're still looking at -3% into next year or worse.</p><p>Ie...homes will go up still...just at a slower pace.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="q6543, post: 16707841, member: 163900"] Us inflation rate is 6.8% for the year. Fed funds base is at the zero bound. Real rate -6.8% Say we were at .5% base with the same 6.8% IR, That would put us at -6.3% So if inflation falls into the 4s next year... totally plausible.. and the FED lifts off and commits to 3 hike...75bps. We're still looking at -3% into next year or worse. Ie...homes will go up still...just at a slower pace. [/QUOTE]
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SVTPerformance's Chain of Restaurants
Road Side Pub
Thoughts on Real Estate- bubble burst or not?
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