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SVTPerformance's Chain of Restaurants
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This Is What Will Happen in the Next Billion Years
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<blockquote data-quote="quad" data-source="post: 16256184" data-attributes="member: 17952"><p>[MEDIA=youtube]-wd0AYx8j0U[/MEDIA]</p><p></p><p><a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Timeline_of_the_far_future" target="_blank">Timeline of the far future - Wikipedia</a></p><p></p><p>Future of Humanity:</p><p>Years from now:</p><p>10,000 Most probable estimated lifespan of technological civilization, according to <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Frank_Drake" target="_blank">Frank Drake</a>'s original formulation of the <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Drake_equation" target="_blank">Drake equation</a>.<a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Timeline_of_the_far_future#cite_note-150" target="_blank">[133]</a></p><p></p><p>10,000 If <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Globalization" target="_blank">globalization</a> trends lead to <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Panmixia" target="_blank">panmixia</a>, <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Human_genetic_variation" target="_blank">human genetic variation</a> will no longer be regionalized, as the <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Effective_population_size" target="_blank">effective population size</a> will equal the actual population size.<a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Timeline_of_the_far_future#cite_note-151" target="_blank">[134]</a></p><p></p><p>10,000 Humanity has a 95% probability of being extinct by this date, according to <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Brandon_Carter" target="_blank">Brandon Carter</a>'s formulation of the controversial <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Doomsday_argument" target="_blank">Doomsday argument</a>, which argues that half of the humans who will ever have lived have probably already been born.<a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Timeline_of_the_far_future#cite_note-brandon-152" target="_blank">[135]</a></p><p></p><p>20,000 According to the <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Glottochronology" target="_blank">glottochronology</a> linguistic model of <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Morris_Swadesh" target="_blank">Morris Swadesh</a>, future languages should retain just 1 out of 100 "core vocabulary" words on their <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Swadesh_list" target="_blank">Swadesh list</a> compared to that of their current progenitors.<a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Timeline_of_the_far_future#cite_note-153" target="_blank">[136]</a></p><p></p><p>100,000+ Time required to <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Terraforming_of_Mars" target="_blank">terraform Mars</a> with an <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Oxygen" target="_blank">oxygen</a>-rich breathable atmosphere, using only plants with solar efficiency comparable to the biosphere currently found on Earth.<a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Timeline_of_the_far_future#cite_note-154" target="_blank">[137]</a></p><p></p><p>1 million Estimated shortest time by which humanity could colonize our Milky Way galaxy and become capable of <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kardashev_scale" target="_blank">harnessing all the energy of the galaxy</a>, assuming a velocity of 10% the <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Speed_of_light" target="_blank">speed of light</a>.<a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Timeline_of_the_far_future#cite_note-typeiii-155" target="_blank">[138]</a></p><p></p><p>2 million Vertebrate species separated for this long will generally undergo <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Allopatric_speciation" target="_blank">allopatric speciation</a>.<a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Timeline_of_the_far_future#cite_note-156" target="_blank">[139]</a> Evolutionary biologist <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/James_W._Valentine" target="_blank">James W. Valentine</a> predicted that if humanity has been dispersed among genetically isolated <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Space_colonization" target="_blank">space colonies</a> over this time, the galaxy will host an <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Evolutionary_radiation" target="_blank">evolutionary radiation</a> of multiple human species with a "diversity of form and adaptation that would astound us".<a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Timeline_of_the_far_future#cite_note-157" target="_blank">[140]</a> This would be a natural process of isolated populations, unrelated to potential deliberate <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gene_therapy" target="_blank">genetic enhancement</a> technologies.</p><p></p><p>7.8 million Humanity has a 95% probability of being extinct by this date, according to <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/J._Richard_Gott" target="_blank">J. Richard Gott</a>'s formulation of the controversial <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Doomsday_argument" target="_blank">Doomsday argument</a>, which argues that we have probably already lived through half the duration of human history.<a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Timeline_of_the_far_future#cite_note-158" target="_blank">[141]</a></p><p></p><p>100 million Maximal estimated lifespan of technological civilization, according to <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Frank_Drake" target="_blank">Frank Drake</a>'s original formulation of the <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Drake_equation" target="_blank">Drake equation</a>.<a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Timeline_of_the_far_future#cite_note-159" target="_blank">[142]</a></p><p></p><p>1 billion Estimated time for an <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Astronomical_engineering" target="_blank">astroengineering</a> project to alter the <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Earth%27s_orbit" target="_blank">Earth's orbit</a>, compensating for the Sun's rising brightness and outward migration of the <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Circumstellar_habitable_zone" target="_blank">habitable zone</a>, accomplished by repeated asteroid <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gravity_assist" target="_blank">gravity assists</a>.<a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Timeline_of_the_far_future#cite_note-160" target="_blank">[143]</a><a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Timeline_of_the_far_future#cite_note-161" target="_blank">[144]</a></p><p></p><p><span style="font-size: 18px"><strong>Future of the Earth, the Solar System and the universe</strong></span></p><p></p><p>10 to the power of 200 years from now: Estimated high time for all nucleons in the observable universe to decay, if they do not via the above process, through any one of many different mechanisms allowed in modern particle physics (higher-order <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Baryon_number" target="_blank">baryon non-conservation</a> processes, <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Virtual_black_hole" target="_blank">virtual black holes</a>, <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sphaleron" target="_blank">sphalerons</a>, etc.) on time scales of 10 to power of 46 to 10 to power 200 years.<a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Timeline_of_the_far_future#cite_note-five_ages-3" target="_blank">[3]</a></p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="quad, post: 16256184, member: 17952"] [MEDIA=youtube]-wd0AYx8j0U[/MEDIA] [URL="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Timeline_of_the_far_future"]Timeline of the far future - Wikipedia[/URL] Future of Humanity: Years from now: 10,000 Most probable estimated lifespan of technological civilization, according to [URL='https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Frank_Drake']Frank Drake[/URL]'s original formulation of the [URL='https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Drake_equation']Drake equation[/URL].[URL='https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Timeline_of_the_far_future#cite_note-150'][133][/URL] 10,000 If [URL='https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Globalization']globalization[/URL] trends lead to [URL='https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Panmixia']panmixia[/URL], [URL='https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Human_genetic_variation']human genetic variation[/URL] will no longer be regionalized, as the [URL='https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Effective_population_size']effective population size[/URL] will equal the actual population size.[URL='https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Timeline_of_the_far_future#cite_note-151'][134][/URL] 10,000 Humanity has a 95% probability of being extinct by this date, according to [URL='https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Brandon_Carter']Brandon Carter[/URL]'s formulation of the controversial [URL='https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Doomsday_argument']Doomsday argument[/URL], which argues that half of the humans who will ever have lived have probably already been born.[URL='https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Timeline_of_the_far_future#cite_note-brandon-152'][135][/URL] 20,000 According to the [URL='https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Glottochronology']glottochronology[/URL] linguistic model of [URL='https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Morris_Swadesh']Morris Swadesh[/URL], future languages should retain just 1 out of 100 "core vocabulary" words on their [URL='https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Swadesh_list']Swadesh list[/URL] compared to that of their current progenitors.[URL='https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Timeline_of_the_far_future#cite_note-153'][136][/URL] 100,000+ Time required to [URL='https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Terraforming_of_Mars']terraform Mars[/URL] with an [URL='https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Oxygen']oxygen[/URL]-rich breathable atmosphere, using only plants with solar efficiency comparable to the biosphere currently found on Earth.[URL='https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Timeline_of_the_far_future#cite_note-154'][137][/URL] 1 million Estimated shortest time by which humanity could colonize our Milky Way galaxy and become capable of [URL='https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kardashev_scale']harnessing all the energy of the galaxy[/URL], assuming a velocity of 10% the [URL='https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Speed_of_light']speed of light[/URL].[URL='https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Timeline_of_the_far_future#cite_note-typeiii-155'][138][/URL] 2 million Vertebrate species separated for this long will generally undergo [URL='https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Allopatric_speciation']allopatric speciation[/URL].[URL='https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Timeline_of_the_far_future#cite_note-156'][139][/URL] Evolutionary biologist [URL='https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/James_W._Valentine']James W. Valentine[/URL] predicted that if humanity has been dispersed among genetically isolated [URL='https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Space_colonization']space colonies[/URL] over this time, the galaxy will host an [URL='https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Evolutionary_radiation']evolutionary radiation[/URL] of multiple human species with a "diversity of form and adaptation that would astound us".[URL='https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Timeline_of_the_far_future#cite_note-157'][140][/URL] This would be a natural process of isolated populations, unrelated to potential deliberate [URL='https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gene_therapy']genetic enhancement[/URL] technologies. 7.8 million Humanity has a 95% probability of being extinct by this date, according to [URL='https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/J._Richard_Gott']J. Richard Gott[/URL]'s formulation of the controversial [URL='https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Doomsday_argument']Doomsday argument[/URL], which argues that we have probably already lived through half the duration of human history.[URL='https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Timeline_of_the_far_future#cite_note-158'][141][/URL] 100 million Maximal estimated lifespan of technological civilization, according to [URL='https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Frank_Drake']Frank Drake[/URL]'s original formulation of the [URL='https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Drake_equation']Drake equation[/URL].[URL='https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Timeline_of_the_far_future#cite_note-159'][142][/URL] 1 billion Estimated time for an [URL='https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Astronomical_engineering']astroengineering[/URL] project to alter the [URL='https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Earth%27s_orbit']Earth's orbit[/URL], compensating for the Sun's rising brightness and outward migration of the [URL='https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Circumstellar_habitable_zone']habitable zone[/URL], accomplished by repeated asteroid [URL='https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gravity_assist']gravity assists[/URL].[URL='https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Timeline_of_the_far_future#cite_note-160'][143][/URL][URL='https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Timeline_of_the_far_future#cite_note-161'][144][/URL] [size=5][b]Future of the Earth, the Solar System and the universe[/b][/size] 10 to the power of 200 years from now: Estimated high time for all nucleons in the observable universe to decay, if they do not via the above process, through any one of many different mechanisms allowed in modern particle physics (higher-order [URL='https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Baryon_number']baryon non-conservation[/URL] processes, [URL='https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Virtual_black_hole']virtual black holes[/URL], [URL='https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sphaleron']sphalerons[/URL], etc.) on time scales of 10 to power of 46 to 10 to power 200 years.[URL='https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Timeline_of_the_far_future#cite_note-five_ages-3'][3][/URL] [/QUOTE]
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