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SVTPerformance's Chain of Restaurants
Road Side Pub
SVTP stock pick thread.
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<blockquote data-quote="cobracide" data-source="post: 16823464" data-attributes="member: 4644"><p>I got caught too with AMD, it's obviously too late to get out at this point. Was betting on no recession but the Fed is getting ahead of itself. First the Fed is behind and now ahead. So now I'm hoping for a quick recession of about a year. Remember - one of the first sectors that bounce back in a good economy are semiconductors. So at least we have that.</p><p></p><p>Inflation is already pulling back in commodities but the problem is this is supply side driven inflation. Raising interest rates does nothing for that. For example - the natural gas prices.. to make more available, cheaper - build more pipelines. But we all know the tree hugging Dems block any new conventional energy initiatives. All that Covid aid and student loan forgiveness dumped Billions into the money supply (M1, M2)- as well as years of easy money (artificially low interest rates) have caught up. Nothing is for free and now we are paying for it. More than likely the Fed will now overdo it and overshoot tightening, if they haven't already.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="cobracide, post: 16823464, member: 4644"] I got caught too with AMD, it's obviously too late to get out at this point. Was betting on no recession but the Fed is getting ahead of itself. First the Fed is behind and now ahead. So now I'm hoping for a quick recession of about a year. Remember - one of the first sectors that bounce back in a good economy are semiconductors. So at least we have that. Inflation is already pulling back in commodities but the problem is this is supply side driven inflation. Raising interest rates does nothing for that. For example - the natural gas prices.. to make more available, cheaper - build more pipelines. But we all know the tree hugging Dems block any new conventional energy initiatives. All that Covid aid and student loan forgiveness dumped Billions into the money supply (M1, M2)- as well as years of easy money (artificially low interest rates) have caught up. Nothing is for free and now we are paying for it. More than likely the Fed will now overdo it and overshoot tightening, if they haven't already. [/QUOTE]
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SVTPerformance's Chain of Restaurants
Road Side Pub
SVTP stock pick thread.
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