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SVTPerformance's Chain of Restaurants
Road Side Pub
SVTP stock pick thread.
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<blockquote data-quote="Weather Man" data-source="post: 16804166" data-attributes="member: 137766"><p><h3>Yield-curve inversion hits widest level in 22 years</h3><p>Aug. 04, 2022 9:20 AM ET<a href="https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/AGG?source=content_type%3Areact%7Csection%3Amain_content%7Csection_asset%3Ameta%7Cfirst_level_url%3Anews%7Csymbol%3AAGG" target="_blank">iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF (AGG)</a>, <a href="https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/BND?source=content_type%3Areact%7Csection%3Amain_content%7Csection_asset%3Ameta%7Cfirst_level_url%3Anews%7Csymbol%3ABND" target="_blank">BND</a>, <a href="https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/TLT?source=content_type%3Areact%7Csection%3Amain_content%7Csection_asset%3Ameta%7Cfirst_level_url%3Anews%7Csymbol%3ATLT" target="_blank">TLT</a>, <a href="https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/IEI?source=content_type%3Areact%7Csection%3Amain_content%7Csection_asset%3Ameta%7Cfirst_level_url%3Anews%7Csymbol%3AIEI" target="_blank">IEI</a><a href="https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/IEF?source=content_type%3Areact%7Csection%3Amain_content%7Csection_asset%3Ameta%7Cfirst_level_url%3Anews%7Csymbol%3AIEF" target="_blank">IEF</a>By: <a href="https://seekingalpha.com/user/53367831/profile?source=content_type%3Areact%7Csection%3Amain_content%7Csection_asset%3Ameta%7Cbutton%3Aauthor_name%7Cfirst_level_url%3Anews" target="_blank">Jason Capul</a>, SA News Editor<a href="https://seekingalpha.com/news/3867254-yield-curve-inversion-hits-widest-level-in-22-years#comments" target="_blank">11 Comments</a></p><p></p><p><img src="https://static.seekingalpha.com/cdn/s3/uploads/getty_images/1182560775/image_1182560775.jpg?io=getty-c-w750" alt="Inverted Yield Curve with aerial view of New York City" class="fr-fic fr-dii fr-draggable " style="" /></p><p>Melpomenem</p><p></p><p>The yield curve between the 2-year and 10-year Treasury notes has inverted to its widest point in 22 years, dating back to September of 2000.</p><p>On Thursday morning, the spread between the 2- and 10-year yields hovers around -38 basis points. During the day's early action, the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield (<a href="https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/US10Y?source=content_type%3Areact%7Csection%3Amain_content%7Cbutton%3Abody_link%7Cfirst_level_url%3Anews" target="_blank">US10Y</a>) slipped seven basis points to 2.67%, while the U.S. 2-year Treasury yield (<a href="https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/US2Y?source=content_type%3Areact%7Csection%3Amain_content%7Cbutton%3Abody_link%7Cfirst_level_url%3Anews" target="_blank">US2Y</a>) retreated five basis points to 3.05%.</p><p>Bigger picture, in 2022, the 10-Year has risen by 114 basis points and the 2-Year has increased by 229 basis points. These moves equate to a spread contraction of 115 basis points between the two instruments over the course of the year so far.</p><p>Historically, extended inversion periods tend to foreshadow future market downturns. Since 2000, there are two prime examples: In 2006-2007, the yield curve inverted for an elongated period of time and acted as a precursor to the Great Recession of 2008-2009. Previously, similar conditions occurred in 2000, presaging the 2001-2003 market meltdown.</p><p>Jeffrey Gundlach, CEO of DoubleLine Capital LP <a href="https://seekingalpha.com/news/3866991-nasdaq-sp-and-dow-futures-push-higher-and-the-yield-curve-inverts-further?source=content_type%3Areact%7Csection%3Amain_content%7Cbutton%3Abody_link%7Cfirst_level_url%3Anews" target="_blank">stated</a>: “The 2-year 10-year yield curve inversion is gaining steam. At 36 basis points right now. Rough road ahead.”</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Weather Man, post: 16804166, member: 137766"] [HEADING=2]Yield-curve inversion hits widest level in 22 years[/HEADING] Aug. 04, 2022 9:20 AM ET[URL='https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/AGG?source=content_type%3Areact%7Csection%3Amain_content%7Csection_asset%3Ameta%7Cfirst_level_url%3Anews%7Csymbol%3AAGG']iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF (AGG)[/URL], [URL='https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/BND?source=content_type%3Areact%7Csection%3Amain_content%7Csection_asset%3Ameta%7Cfirst_level_url%3Anews%7Csymbol%3ABND']BND[/URL], [URL='https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/TLT?source=content_type%3Areact%7Csection%3Amain_content%7Csection_asset%3Ameta%7Cfirst_level_url%3Anews%7Csymbol%3ATLT']TLT[/URL], [URL='https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/IEI?source=content_type%3Areact%7Csection%3Amain_content%7Csection_asset%3Ameta%7Cfirst_level_url%3Anews%7Csymbol%3AIEI']IEI[/URL][URL='https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/IEF?source=content_type%3Areact%7Csection%3Amain_content%7Csection_asset%3Ameta%7Cfirst_level_url%3Anews%7Csymbol%3AIEF']IEF[/URL]By: [URL='https://seekingalpha.com/user/53367831/profile?source=content_type%3Areact%7Csection%3Amain_content%7Csection_asset%3Ameta%7Cbutton%3Aauthor_name%7Cfirst_level_url%3Anews']Jason Capul[/URL], SA News Editor[URL='https://seekingalpha.com/news/3867254-yield-curve-inversion-hits-widest-level-in-22-years#comments']11 Comments[/URL] [IMG alt="Inverted Yield Curve with aerial view of New York City"]https://static.seekingalpha.com/cdn/s3/uploads/getty_images/1182560775/image_1182560775.jpg?io=getty-c-w750[/IMG] Melpomenem The yield curve between the 2-year and 10-year Treasury notes has inverted to its widest point in 22 years, dating back to September of 2000. On Thursday morning, the spread between the 2- and 10-year yields hovers around -38 basis points. During the day's early action, the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield ([URL='https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/US10Y?source=content_type%3Areact%7Csection%3Amain_content%7Cbutton%3Abody_link%7Cfirst_level_url%3Anews']US10Y[/URL]) slipped seven basis points to 2.67%, while the U.S. 2-year Treasury yield ([URL='https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/US2Y?source=content_type%3Areact%7Csection%3Amain_content%7Cbutton%3Abody_link%7Cfirst_level_url%3Anews']US2Y[/URL]) retreated five basis points to 3.05%. Bigger picture, in 2022, the 10-Year has risen by 114 basis points and the 2-Year has increased by 229 basis points. These moves equate to a spread contraction of 115 basis points between the two instruments over the course of the year so far. Historically, extended inversion periods tend to foreshadow future market downturns. Since 2000, there are two prime examples: In 2006-2007, the yield curve inverted for an elongated period of time and acted as a precursor to the Great Recession of 2008-2009. Previously, similar conditions occurred in 2000, presaging the 2001-2003 market meltdown. Jeffrey Gundlach, CEO of DoubleLine Capital LP [URL='https://seekingalpha.com/news/3866991-nasdaq-sp-and-dow-futures-push-higher-and-the-yield-curve-inverts-further?source=content_type%3Areact%7Csection%3Amain_content%7Cbutton%3Abody_link%7Cfirst_level_url%3Anews']stated[/URL]: “The 2-year 10-year yield curve inversion is gaining steam. At 36 basis points right now. Rough road ahead.” [/QUOTE]
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