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SVTPerformance's Chain of Restaurants
Road Side Pub
SVTP stock pick thread.
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<blockquote data-quote="q6543" data-source="post: 16706258" data-attributes="member: 163900"><p>[ATTACH]1730890[/ATTACH]</p><p>Dollar looks like it will run out of steam by next year.</p><p></p><p>Crazy part is they have everyone whipped up into an inflation frenzy, and the truth is we need to print A TRUCKLOAD of more dollars to knock this back.</p><p></p><p>This tightening cycle is gonna be very brief... maybe they shoot for 75 bps and hold... I don't know if we could breach 2.5% without creating global havoc.</p><p>Bond market is capping us out around <2% still.</p><p></p><p>I can see a scenario where we're at 1.5-1.75 base with an inflation rate of 3% plus... and they're trying to manage negative -1 to -1-5% real rates.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="q6543, post: 16706258, member: 163900"] [ATTACH]1730890[/ATTACH] Dollar looks like it will run out of steam by next year. Crazy part is they have everyone whipped up into an inflation frenzy, and the truth is we need to print A TRUCKLOAD of more dollars to knock this back. This tightening cycle is gonna be very brief... maybe they shoot for 75 bps and hold... I don't know if we could breach 2.5% without creating global havoc. Bond market is capping us out around <2% still. I can see a scenario where we're at 1.5-1.75 base with an inflation rate of 3% plus... and they're trying to manage negative -1 to -1-5% real rates. [/QUOTE]
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SVTPerformance's Chain of Restaurants
Road Side Pub
SVTP stock pick thread.
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