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SVTPerformance's Chain of Restaurants
Road Side Pub
Hurricane Dorian
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<blockquote data-quote="BOOGIE MAN" data-source="post: 16278788" data-attributes="member: 26082"><p>Pardon me while I rant a little.</p><p></p><p>There is a million dollar reward for anyone that can solve the fundamental set of equations that defines meteorology (it's at the center of all weather models); it is impossible to solve, more variables than terms. In order to "solve" it, we break down the atmosphere in to different spatial scales. At the planetary scale we assume certain variables to be certain values (or eliminate them altogether). When you go down smaller spatial scales to say continental scale we do the same thing but for different variables in the equations. Again, go down to even smaller spatial scales like regional systems or even smaller (like individual thunderstorms) and again assume a different set of variables in the equation to be certain values or eliminate them. </p><p></p><p>That's fine and dandy for "regular" weather but we can't do this process for hurricanes. Now when I say fine and dandy, I mean "still hard as ****." The first guy to make a numerical weather prediction (mathematically solve the governing equations) for two points for a six hour forecast took OVER 6 WEEKS to calculate by hand. However, hurricanes require all variables/processes/interactions from EVERY spatial scale to be accounted for. So imagine the amount of calculations and how long that would take to do by hand... years</p><p></p><p>So give meteorologists a break, especially with hurricanes.</p><p></p><p>Sent from my SM-N975U using the <a href="http://r.tapatalk.com/byo?rid=92568" target="_blank">svtperformance.com mobile app</a></p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="BOOGIE MAN, post: 16278788, member: 26082"] Pardon me while I rant a little. There is a million dollar reward for anyone that can solve the fundamental set of equations that defines meteorology (it's at the center of all weather models); it is impossible to solve, more variables than terms. In order to "solve" it, we break down the atmosphere in to different spatial scales. At the planetary scale we assume certain variables to be certain values (or eliminate them altogether). When you go down smaller spatial scales to say continental scale we do the same thing but for different variables in the equations. Again, go down to even smaller spatial scales like regional systems or even smaller (like individual thunderstorms) and again assume a different set of variables in the equation to be certain values or eliminate them. That's fine and dandy for "regular" weather but we can't do this process for hurricanes. Now when I say fine and dandy, I mean "still hard as ****." The first guy to make a numerical weather prediction (mathematically solve the governing equations) for two points for a six hour forecast took OVER 6 WEEKS to calculate by hand. However, hurricanes require all variables/processes/interactions from EVERY spatial scale to be accounted for. So imagine the amount of calculations and how long that would take to do by hand... years So give meteorologists a break, especially with hurricanes. Sent from my SM-N975U using the [URL=http://r.tapatalk.com/byo?rid=92568]svtperformance.com mobile app[/URL] [/QUOTE]
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SVTPerformance's Chain of Restaurants
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