Aggressive Hurricane Season

[rborden]

Not a very good outlook. This could be the straw that breaks the camels back in terms of insurance companies pulling out of Florida and other Hurricane prone areas in the country.

NOAA predicts above-normal 2024 Atlantic hurricane season

La Nina and warmer-than-average ocean temperatures are major drivers of tropical activity

www.noaa.gov

 

[03cobra#694]

They've been saying this for a while. The Gulf is already warm as a hell.

 

[BOOGIE MAN]

This is what hurricanes do, they spend and redistribute heat (energy).

Advice for this hurricane season from someone in the industry:
-if you want to look at forecasts, only follow forecasts from NHC and NWS for hurricanes. NHC has the greatest tropical cyclone forecasters on the planet, it's not even close. Your local NWS office takes the NHC forecast and scales it down to your area and gives you what impacts you can expect locally
-do not look at individual deterministic models (unless comparing all guidance)
-Do not look at models further out than 3-5 days unless you have a degree in atmospheric science/meteorology/fluid dynamics
-if in the path of a storm, plan for a category higher than is forecast to hit
-water is the #1 killer in hurricanes, act accordingly

 

[03cobra#694]

-if in the path of a storm, plan for a category higher than is forecast to hit

What's higher than a 5? That's what the last 2 big ones have been.

 

[BOOGIE MAN]

What's higher than a ? That's what the last 2 big ones have been.

I'm assuming you meant higher than a 5. That depends on if some researchers get their way or not.

I know you've been through your share so you know what to expect, my advice is moreso for the transplants/people that haven't been through a real storm.

I know for Michael it made landfall as a 4 and they upgraded it to cat5 post-mortem just like they did with Andrew. Can't remember if Irma was considered a 5 before landfall. Point is, plan for a category above. If NHC is forecasting a cat5 at landfall in your general direction, you are going to get the worst mother nature has to offer.

*edit*
I think Irma and Ian made landfall (in US) as 4s

 

[03cobra#694]

I'm assuming you meant higher than a 5. That depends on if some researchers get their way or not.

I know you've been through your share so you know what to expect, my advice is moreso for the transplants/people that haven't been through a real storm

I know you are, last two were something. I personally believe Charley 21 years ago was stronger than Ian, just faster moving. I love the idiots who just moved here telling me about storms and how to prepare.

 

[BOOGIE MAN]

I know you are, last two were something. I personally believe Charley 21 years ago was stronger than Ian, just faster moving. I love the idiots who just moved here telling me about storms and how to prepare.

Yeah I know the feeling. But, you've gotta find the positive. Maybe, just maybe, all those transplants will move back to wherever the **** they came from after they see what a major hurricane is

 

[NateDogg]

As an electric utility worker, I hate this news....... Looks like I have long long long hours ahead of me this hurricane season.

 

[BOOGIE MAN]

As an electric utility worker, I hate this news....... Looks like I have long long long hours ahead of me this hurricane season.

That OT check though

 

[NateDogg]

That OT check though

Ohhh yeahhh.. No shortage of cobra funds during storm season, that's for sure. LOL

 

[SID297]

I know you are, last two were something. I personally believe Charley 21 years ago was stronger than Ian, just faster moving. I love the idiots who just moved here telling me about storms and how to prepare.

Stock up on liquor?

As an electric utility worker, I hate this news....... Looks like I have long long long hours ahead of me this hurricane season.

No likey the overtime?

 

[03cobra#694]

Stock up on liquor?

And beer, that's a law here.

 

[NateDogg]

Stock up on liquor?



No likey the overtime?

I don't mind it, but I've gotten to the point in my life where I want to spend as little time at work as possible.

In previous years I would sign up for every OT shift possible. Nowadays I'm good with working 40 hours a week and leaving the OT for the others.

 

[DSG2003Mach1]

maybe I should be looking at these whole house generators after all instead of this plug in honda. If I moved the privacy fence up on that side of the house there's no windows so I could get one big ass propane tank and put the generator almost directly under the electric panel. I know an electrician so the install would be a minimal cost.

 

[03cobra#694]

maybe I should be looking at these whole house generators after all instead of this plug in honda. If I moved the privacy fence up on that side of the house there's no windows so I could get one big ass propane tank and put the generator almost directly under the electric panel. I know an electrician so the install would be a minimal cost.

I thought about those Jerry, but the big storms are so far in between normally. I didn't think it was worth the expense by the time you buy it, install it and bury a tank.

 

[DSG2003Mach1]

I thought about those Jerry, but the big storms are so far in between normally. I didn't think it was worth the expense by the time you buy it, install it and bury a tank.

ya I go back and forth it. My neighborhood has underground utilities and I dunno if we have something to do with the airport or not but even when goes out it comes up pretty quick.

I wouldnt bury the tank, it would be on the side of the house where it wouldnt be seen or in the way (double gate is on the other side) so I could just do 1-2 above ground tanks. The electrician buddy would wire it for a couple hundred bucks. A couple AC concrete pads to set it on.

I know if you buy one at a box store and use their installer you're looking at 10-13k (that was a couple years ago though so might be worse now)

 

[03cobra#694]

ya I go back and forth it. My neighborhood has underground utilities and I dunno if we have something to do with the airport or not but even when goes out it comes up pretty quick.

I wouldnt bury the tank, it would be on the side of the house where it wouldnt be seen or in the way (double gate is on the other side) so I could just do 1-2 above ground tanks. The electrician buddy would wire it for a couple hundred bucks. A couple AC concrete pads to set it on.

I know if you buy one at a box store and use their installer you're looking at 10-13k (that was a couple years ago though so might be worse now)

I'd have to bury the tank where I live. I think it's around $15K these days.

 

[PC03GT]

As an electric utility worker, I hate this news....... Looks like I have long long long hours ahead of me this hurricane season.

I second this. Even up north we get our asses kicked every few year's, not even close to being comparable, but none the less it still ****ing sucks

 

[BOOGIE MAN]

I'd have to bury the tank where I live. I think it's around $15K these days.

You got enough depth to bury a tank before getting to limestone where you're at?

 

[03cobra#694]

You got enough depth to bury a tank before getting to limestone where you're at?

I'm sure you're making a funny. Only rock around here is in flower beds around the house.